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Laura Aboli Offers Another Perspective…

This war is not primarily about conquering Iran, it is about forcing the exposure of dependency, overreach, and fragility of Israel, while using Iran as the arena where that exposure becomes impossible to hide.

Reuters reported this week that the White House is meeting major defense contractors because the strikes on Iran are already drawing down U.S. stocks, and the Pentagon is discussing a roughly $50 billion supplemental to replace weapons used in recent conflicts. The public line that “we can do this forever” is simply not true.

On the other hand, Iran may actually be able to absorb more pain than the public narrative suggests. Iran’s drone-production capacity is estimated at around 10,000 per month. So the story that “Iran is about to collapse militarily” is not something I would assume.

I believe Trump is giving Israel enough backing to walk into the trap, but not enough backing to emerge sovereign from it.

That means Israel gets to escalate, burn through interceptors, rely increasingly on U.S. resupply, and reveal that its aura of invincibility ultimately depends on Washington’s industrial base, diplomatic shield, and regional cover.

If the war stretches past the point of easy victory, Netanyahu stops looking like the master of events and starts looking like the man who dragged everyone into a conflict Israel cannot finish alone.

The way I see it, the objective is not to “save Israel” at all costs, but to let the limits of its power become visible, allow Netanyahu to own the political fallout, and only then step in and shape the final settlement from a position of authority.

That settlement would amount to a regional reset in which Israel loses freedom of action, loses moral standing, loses the myth that it can dominate the region indefinitely, and is forced back inside harder limits. Not “Greater Israel,” but a smaller, constrained Israel.

So if my premise is right, the strategy is not simply to weaken Iran, the strategy is to allow Israel to walk deeper into a strategic miscalculation.

Israel believes the United States will stand behind it indefinitely, that American resupply, interceptors and munitions will continue for as long as the war lasts.

But what if that assumption is wrong?

What if Israel is being allowed to push further and further into a conflict under the impression that Washington will sustain it indefinitely… only to discover, at a critical moment, that the ceiling has been reached?

At that point the dynamic of the war changes completely.

Israel suddenly finds itself exposed in a confrontation it cannot sustain alone, and the political responsibility for that overreach lands squarely on the man who drove it: Netanyahu.

In this scenario Netanyahu gets used, not rescued.

He becomes the man who exposes the limits of the system he helped sustain for decades; a system built on covert operations, false flags, political pressure, coercion, blackmail networks, narrative control and intelligence dominance that allowed Israel to punch far above its natural weight.

If this war unfolds the way I suspect it might, then what we may be witnessing is not simply another Middle Eastern conflict, it may be the moment when Israel’s architecture of covert power finally collapses.

Trump may have set a trap and Israel may have already walked into it.

Mossad’s motto: “By way of deception, thou shalt make war.” is being used against them.

https://t.me/LauraAbolichannel

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Notes to Readers:

Facts that bear repeating.

Eliza