Oil Warfare

๐—•๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—ฆ๐—˜๐—ก๐—ง ๐—๐—จ๐—ฆ๐—ง ๐——๐—˜๐—ฆ๐—–๐—ฅ๐—œ๐—•๐—˜๐—— ๐—ง๐—›๐—˜ ๐— ๐—ข๐—ฆ๐—ง ๐—•๐—ฅ๐—œ๐—Ÿ๐—Ÿ๐—œ๐—”๐—ก๐—ง ๐—ข๐—œ๐—Ÿ ๐—ช๐—”๐—ฅ๐—™๐—”๐—ฅ๐—˜ ๐— ๐—”๐—ก๐—˜๐—จ๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ฅ ๐—ฌ๐—ข๐—จ’๐—ฉ๐—˜ ๐—˜๐—ฉ๐—˜๐—ฅ ๐—›๐—˜๐—”๐—ฅ๐——.

This is not improvisation. This is a plan that was built before the first strike was launched.

Bessent called it a “break the glass” strategy โ€” a coordinated administration-wide response to the energy disruption everyone knew was coming when Operation Epic Fury began. Here’s what they did and what’s coming:

๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿญ โ€” ๐—ฅ๐˜‚๐˜€๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—น. Treasury unsanctioned Russian oil already on the water โ€” approximately 130 million barrels of floating storage sitting beyond the Strait of Hormuz. Supply created. Price stabilized. Before the war started.

๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฎ โ€” ๐—œ๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—น. Here’s where it gets breathtaking. Iran had been quietly pushing roughly 140 million barrels of sanctioned oil out onto the water โ€” all of it headed to China. Bessent’s move: unsanction it. Release it to the global market. That’s 10 to 14 days of global supply โ€” ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ธ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐˜€ ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—น ๐—ฝ๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐—ฐ๐—ฒ๐˜€ ๐—ฑ๐—ผ๐˜„๐—ป ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ถ๐—น๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ต ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—ฐ๐—ฎ๐—บ๐—ฝ๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ด๐—ป. In his words: ๐˜๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฆ๐˜ด๐˜ด๐˜ฆ๐˜ฏ๐˜ค๐˜ฆ, ๐˜ธ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ธ๐˜ช๐˜ญ๐˜ญ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ฆ ๐˜ถ๐˜ด๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ ๐˜ฃ๐˜ข๐˜ณ๐˜ณ๐˜ฆ๐˜ญ๐˜ด ๐˜ข๐˜จ๐˜ข๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜ด๐˜ต ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ฆ ๐˜๐˜ณ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ด. Oil that was supposed to fund the regime and go to China is instead being turned into a weapon against the regime’s leverage over global energy prices.

๐—ฆ๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฝ ๐Ÿฏ โ€” ๐—ฆ๐—ฃ๐—ฅ. The largest coordinated Strategic Petroleum Reserve release in history โ€” 400 million barrels โ€” was approved last week by IEA member countries. More unilateral U.S. SPR releases are available if needed.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ’๐˜€ ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ด๐—ฒ๐—ฟ ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜. Brent crude and WTI โ€” which had been trading in lockstep โ€” have now substantially diverged. Why? Because the United States, thanks to Trump’s energy independence push, is a net oil exporter. The Strait of Hormuz disruption ๐—ต๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐˜๐˜€ ๐—˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐—ฝ๐—ฒ ๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ฑ ๐—”๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ฎ. It does not hurt us the same way. When Trump tells European allies to send ships to patrol the Strait, his underlying message is blunt: ๐˜บ๐˜ฐ๐˜ถ ๐˜ฏ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฆ๐˜ฅ ๐˜ต๐˜ฉ๐˜ข๐˜ต ๐˜ฐ๐˜ช๐˜ญ. ๐˜ž๐˜ฆ ๐˜ฅ๐˜ฐ๐˜ฏ’๐˜ต.

Every lever Bessent described was pre-planned. The Russian oil. The Iranian oil. The SPR. The energy independence baseline. None of this was improvised when the Strait of Hormuz got disrupted โ€” it was engineered in advance so the disruption couldn’t be used as a weapon against us.

๐—ง๐—ต๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฎ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—น๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ธ๐˜€ ๐—น๐—ถ๐—ธ๐—ฒ ๐˜„๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ป ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ๐—บ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ถ๐˜€๐˜๐—ฟ๐—ฎ๐˜๐—ถ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ฝ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ป๐˜€ ๐—ฎ๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฑ.

12:27 AM ยท Mar 20, 2026

X LINK https://i.fixupx.com/MichaelARothman/status/2034849159887692200?s=20


Notes to Readers:

Nevertheless, today (20 March 2026) I paid $3.99 per gallon for Regular. Oil companies are cashing in on a fake oil shortage.

Any trips will be short until this nonsense has ended.

Eliza

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